DMfirst / Journal
Numbers explainedDMfirst-owned · Edition 067

Interpret a small sample

A few outcomes can vary widely from the underlying probabilities. Selected screenshots are an even weaker sample because the selection process is unknown.

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Inside this edition

One topic. Three useful perspectives.

3 sections

01

Understand the idea

A few outcomes can vary widely from the underlying probabilities. Selected screenshots are an even weaker sample because the selection process is unknown.

Context
02

Put it into practice

Record all observations if evaluating a claim and distinguish measured results from assumptions. Treat small samples as uncertain rather than conclusive.

Practical step
03

Know the limits

Ten favorable outcomes do not establish a guaranteed pattern for the next ten.

Important limit

Make the reading useful.

Take a moment to check your understanding. This is a reflection aid, not a certification or account check.

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